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YUKOS building growth and value for next generation

Posted: 12 February 2004

Address of YUKOS-Moscow President Steven Theede at 2004 CERAWeek International conference on 10 Feb 2004

Thank you Mr. Chairman and Good Morning Ladies and Gentlemen!

It's a pleasure to be back here at CERA Week, and to be speaking to you this morning representing Yukos which has been an active participant in this conference for the past several years.

That participation hasn't been accidental, it has been based upon a fundamental commitment that Russian and Western oil companies can create significant value for each other by working in mutually beneficial partnerships. Sharing technology, intellectual assets and global best practices has already brought benefits to Russian and Western companies alike. So keeping with the growth and creating value theme of the meeting, this morning I want to talk about how this approach has played an important role in Yukos' success - it has helped transform YUKOS into the largest and fastest growing oil company in Russia . And it's played an important role in the overall turnaround of the Russian oil industry after years of production decline. Russian oil production fell by (-45%) during the first half of 90's from its peak in 1989. Yukos' performance was consistent with that, falling to 900,000 bpd. However, since 1999, Yukos' production has increased by double digit percentages each year to an average of more than 1.6 mmbpd. 81% growth. Russia 's overall production rose by 38% during the same period. So, Yukos' share of the country's total production has increased from 14.6 to 19.5%. Last year Russia once again became the world's largest oil producer - a claim She has not been able to make since 1992.

Yukos has achieved this result by focusing primarily on modern reservoir management techniques. The practical impact on our business has been to reduce the number of producing wells from almost 14,000 to 8,800. Average production per well has increased by a factor 4 and today is four times above the Russian industry average. The production rates of our new wells averages over 1000 bpd, compared to the Russian industry average of 250 bpd. Just as importantly, our lifting, finding and development costs are about $ 2.50 per bbl - the best in Russia .

I like to talk about production efficiency as a dramatic way of illustrating how much we've improved up to now, but just as importantly, how much more we can improve in terms of future production increases. This goes for Yukos and for Russia alike. Production efficiency is the ratio of actual well production compared to its theoretical capacity. At the time of privatization in 1996, the efficiency of wells operated by Yukos was 9%. Integrating western technologies into our operation, YUKOS has increased that efficiency to 27%. But 27% is only about half of the average for our Western peers. So even though we've made significant improvement, there's still a ways to go.

The results speak for themselves -- Russia is on the brink of breaking through the 9 million bpd production milestone and potential still exists for further increases through optimization and effiency improvements, without even getting into the potential for development of new fields and reserves.

Increased use of technology and reservoir management techniques has brought such a fundamental change in the way fields are developed, that in many cases development plans will have to be reassessed. For example, the development plan for Yukos' Entelskoye field was formulated in 1996. It envisaged drilling 57 wells to fully exploit the reservoir. Using modern technology, and drilling and reservoir management practices, it was determined only two horizontal wells were needed. Performance results of the field after those wells were drilled, were 2.5 times better than was expected in the original plan and that performance has been sustained.

Such a material change in field development raises the question of technical compliance with licenses that were awarded in the past. Most of my Western colleagues would declare the Entelskoye field example and others like it outstanding successes. So would I. But some in Russia aren't so sure. They express concerns about the effects this may have on the resource base and whether it allows full exploitation of the reserves. Results are on our side though because we have been able to increase our overall average reservoir recovery factors from 27% to 44% as a result of these technological advances. I'm optimistic that we and our colleagues will be able to successfully demonstrate that new technologies are needed and must continue to be applied in order to establish and maintain a competitive position for the industry.

So, the implications of this are actually quite fundamental: The challenge of continuing production growth at YUKOS and in Russia today is not related to development of reserves and reservoirs – they have significant capacity and are capable of delivering double digit production increases for a number of years to come. For us and other Russian producers, maintaining profitable growth is directly related to our ability to export increasing production in a cost effective way.

Last year Yukos exported about 75% of our crude oil production either as crude oil or as refined product. With export pipeline capacity essentially full 1/3 of those exports were made by rail. Some progress is being made to increase export capacity, but until a major pipeline project is completed, incremental production growth will also have to rely heavily on rail, which at the margin is not as economically attractive as pipeline. Options for export pipelines have certainly been discussed, and the final decision of which option is pursued, when it's pursued and at what capacity will depend upon the Russian Federation 's ambitions for its economy and how it wants to position itself in the overall world crude oil market.

Looking to the future, just as the pipeline export infrastructure needs to be upgraded to meet the need for increased, cost-effective export capacity, the Russian oil industry has to modernize in other areas. This pertains in particular to our oil field services.

When Russian oil companies came into being in early 1990s, the defining criteria for their creation was geographical rather than industrial, and they retained most of the basic features of the Ministry they had once belonged to. Oil services were just a part of the oil companies, and there was no competitive market. In 1998 YUKOS was the first Russian oil company to introduce the concept of outsourcing through the establishment of independent companies. A year later YUKOS had 126 companies dedicated to providing us with these services. Still, the new companies only serviced their parent company and competition didn't exist. Today, we have reduced the number of companies to 86 which is important, but of Yukos 100,000 employees, 56,000 reside in the services. We are implementing a three year plan to reduce that to 10 companies, each of which will have to compete for our business in open tender processes. It's our ambition to facilitate the establishment of efficient, substantial and well managed Russian service companies that can compete effectively with Western service companies in Russia . Our most important ambition is to insure we carry out this plan in a way that will create a healthy and competitive Russian Oil Services market and that's critical to an industry that has a turnover of $4 Billion. Of course, the benefits from an environmental and safety point of view are also obvious.

To close, I think it's important to make the point that the performance improvements I've talked about here today is not a case of the west rescuing the Russian Oil industry. It's more a case of Russian Oil Company leaders recognizing there were opportunities to improve their performance and by being open minded enough to allow new ideas, technologies and approaches into their businesses they were able to realize those opportunities. Those of us who have been in business for many years know it takes courage to let that happen. In Russia 's case it's resulted in the reestablishment of it once again becoming the world leader in crude oil production.

For more information see www.yukos.com

Posted by Richard Price, Editor Pipeline Magazine

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