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West looks to Nigeria to lessen dependence on Middle East oil

Posted: 14 July 2003

Driven by the West's eagerness to reduce its dependence on Middle Eastern oil, the Nigerian Government's current policy is, by the end of the decade, to raise the country's proven oil reserves to 40 billion barrels — almost double current known reserves — and increase daily production to 4 million barrels a day.

Nigeria has become the hub of activity for West Africa's oil and related industries in both the upstream and downstream sectors.

This activity is being intensified with the country gearing up to upgrade its oil refining capacity to become a net petroleum exporter, its plans to establish a viable gas sector — including the development of a gas-to-fuel plant — and ongoing oil exploration.

"As international planners look to diminish their dependence of Middle East supplies, focus is turning to Nigeria and West Africa. Work on some of these projects which are expected to attract US investment of some $35-billion in upstream activities alone over the next five years, are already underway," says John Thomson, managing director of Exhibition Management Services.

"This is why Nigeria has been chosen to host Nigoil 2003 — an international exhibition and conference for West Africa's burgeoning oil, gas and petrochemical industries. The event has the support of the relevant Nigerian authorities, who have undertaken a major marketing effort to highlight the opportunities within the sector."

Nigoil 2003 exhibition at the Meridien Eko Hotel, Lagos, September 24 - 26, will cover a broad range of upstream and downstream products, services and management opportunities in an industry that is looking to invest heavily in the coming years to upgrade current infrastructure as well as intensify exploration and refining.

"The expo will provide the platform for both big and small companies to make initial contacts in a challenging yet dynamic market, while the Nigoil conference, on September 25-26, is being designed to bring together the views of senior government officials, high ranking executives from both national and international operators and their strategic contracting partners."

In particular, the conference will offer an insight into the opportunities that exist for foreign companies as the Nigerian government implements its drive towards partial privatisation and strives to enhance existing infrastructures. The conference will analyse key issues concerning structure, investment, deregulation and operational best-in-class practice and equipment.

Nigerian crude oil production, the world's fifth largest, averaged 2.14 million barrels per day (bbl/d) in 2000. The plan is to increase this to 4 bbld by 2010, though, as an OPEC member, its daily production is subject to changing quotas.

Even so, new offshore oil exploration continues and includes such developments as the Agbami field where initial tests by the the ChevronTexaco, Shell and Petrobas partnership show nearly 1 billion barrels of recoverable hydrocarbons.

Oil production should begin by mid-2005 and peak at 200,000 bbl/d by 2007.

At another field, Akpo-1, initial tests by TotalFinaElf indicate yields of 9,000 bbl/d of very light oil, while the development of the Amenam/Kpono field , due to start later this year, is expected to peak at 125,000 bbl/d. Shell's deep-water Bonga field, with peak estimates of 350,000 bbl/d is also scheduled to begin production this year.

A second equivalent major find in the area is due to come on stream by 2005.

Nigeria also has an estimated 124 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of proven natural gas reserves - the 9th largest in the world. Most of this is currently flared, but plans are in hand to end all flaring by 2006 - 2008.

Sasol is currently involved in a $1-billion-plus investment with Chevron Nigeria and the NNPC in gas-to-liquid plant that will be producing diesel, jetfuel, kerosene and naptha products by 2006.

Other gas projects include the expansion of the supply of natural gas to the domestic market, the West African Gas pipeline for exporting gas to Benin, Togo and Ghana and other distribution schemes to help promote Nigerian consumption of natural gas.

Although currently, the majority of upstream activity is carried out by the multi-national oil groups, with local companies responsible for only about 6 per cent of daily production — some 150 000bbl/d — this is expected to increase when government plans to offer marginal fields to local firms are rolled out. Offshore companies have been invited to participate in the development of these fields.

Downstream activitiy is a different picture with more than 700 companies involved.

Nigeria's four state refineries are to be augmented by several small, independently-owned refineries as well as new developments sponsored by State governments.

In addition to maintaining self-sufficiency in refining, the Government is keen to establish infrastructure for the production of refined products for export. Deregulation of the downstream energy sector remains a stated government aim.

Nigoil 2003, Nigerian international exhibition and conference, September 24 - 26, 2003, The New Expo Centre, Le Meridien, Eko Hotel, Victoria Island, Lagos.

For more information see http://www.exhibitionsafrica.com.

Posted by Richard Price, Editor Pipeline Magazine

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